I’m still trying to come down
off my high after that Jets
win over the Patriots. I’m not even
letting Francesa get me down. I did
finally turn him off though. That show
desperately needs Chris Russo back. At
the very least, they should stop screening the callers who disagree
with
him. It’s really a one-sided program.
But what a feeling of elation
for New Yorkers and Jets
fans! To beat Manning and then Brady in
successive weeks is an incredible high, but for Mark Sanchez to throw 3
touchdown passes against Bill Belichick and his vaunted Pats defense
takes it
up one more notch.
My chief concern, though, now is
that the Jets will
experience a natural letdown after not just one but two great upsets
over the
best quarterbacks in the game. I myself
am even feeling a letdown. Why shouldn’t
the Jets?
And it’s not only that. Playing the Steelers is like playing
themselves. The coaches are alike, the
philosophies are
alike and the players are even somewhat alike in their personalities. Where’s the hate?
I
was able to
conceive how the Jets could beat each of those two teams, the Colts and
the
Patriots. I think their different styles
of play made it an easy matter to distinguish the Jets strengths versus
their
opponents’ and formulate a plan based on
playing to the Jets strengths, even if some of those strong points
weren’t even
so evident at the time, such as the Jets potential dominance in the
passing
game.
The Steelers are a totally
different animal from both the
Colts and Pats. Manning and Brady threw
from the pocket, Roethlisberger throws well on the run.
The Colts and Pats featured offenses based on
precision and timing in the passing game. Messing
up that timing was a key ingredient in
the Jets wins.
The Steelers offense is based on
running the ball. The passing game clicks
mostly off
Roethlisberger scrambles while his receivers just try to find a hole to
sit
in. Manning and Brady go down when hit. Roethlisberger does not.
My initial take on this game is
for the Jets to think of Big
Ben as a kind of monstrous Michael Vick. He’s
not as shifty as Vick, almost no one is,
but he’s almost as
dangerous when he’s running around, not because he’ll run with the ball
but
because he’ll kill you with his arm, sometimes while being dragged down
to the
ground.
The key to winning this AFC
Championship will then be to
contain Roethlisberger, much as the Giants contained Vick for 52
minutes before
they totally lost their composure. The
Jets were terrific at making Manning and Brady move out of the pocket. I wonder if they’ll be quite as adept at
containment.
The Steelers like to run the
ball. And they always stop the run. Those are two things they are noted for. That differs hugely from what the Colts and
Pats brought to the table. Once again
the Jets may have to take advantage of their potentially strong passing
game in
order to move the ball down the field.
Although the Jets did beat the
Steelers in Week 15, 22-17,
those Steelers were playing without two starters on their defense, defensive end Aaron Smith and the best safety
in either league, Troy Polamalu. Another
key ingredient missing from that game was Heath Miller, their tight end
and one
of Roethlisberger’s favorite targets. That’s
a big difference.
Another huge factor in that Week
15 game was Brad Smith’s opening
kickoff return for a touchdown. The Jets
were ahead 7-0 after 12 seconds. That’s
a huge boost, one that the Jets can’t really expect to duplicate in
this
upcoming game. And let’s not forget a huge tackle in the end zone by
Jason
Taylor that not only put two more on the scoreboard for the Jets but
gave them
the ball as well.
Not that I’m being pessimistic
but this game could
definitely be the toughest playoff game yet. This
Steelers team is made for the playoffs,
made for cold weather, made
to win games in December and January. They had some bad luck in that
Week 15
game.
The current line on this game
says the Jets are 3 ½ point
underdogs, a spread that simply reflects the home field edge. These teams are pretty much dead even. The Jets have a superior offensive line and
receivers. The Steelers have the edge
defensively.
The Steelers running back, Rashard Mendenhall, rushed for 100 yards in
just 17 carries in that Week
15 game. Both Jets running backs,
LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene, did pretty well for themselves
too,
gaining about 89 yards combined, but that was on 23 attempts. Based on those stats, I’d expect to see a bit
more of Mendenhall in this game. Whether
the Jets stick with the running game remains to be seen.
Stats are great, I love them,
but they’re probably more
meaningful over a full season than in one isolated game, especially a
playoff
game that will determine who goes to Dallas for the Super Bowl. This game will probably be decided by
individuals making plays in big situations, not by which running back
or
quarterback garners more yards.
The playmakers in that Week 15
game were obviously Brad
Smith early and then Jason Taylor late. They
were the big reasons the Jets carried the
day. One could also point to the coverage
by Revis
and the rest of the Jets secondary on those two final shots
Roethlisberger had
at the end zone.
There’s no better playmaker than
Polamalu, of course, and he’ll
be back for this one. The Steelers have
no lack of playmakers, including James Harrison, their deadly outside
linebacker, and their very speedy wide receiver, Mike Wallace, who was
pretty
much shut entirely down in that Week 15 game, catching just one pass
for 8
yards.
The Jets have Santonio Holmes,
Darrelle Revis, Jason Taylor…..
It’ll come down to who wants it
more.
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