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| It's
looking like either Rangers Ian Kinsler or Rockies Troy Tulowitzki will
be dem Crabs fantasy #1
Photo by Christian Petersen-Getty-
AP
Photo
by Lisa Blumenfeld - Getty- AP
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They’re still the Evil Empire. They always will be. I’m
reminded of this today as Yankee fans are
picking on the Mets at every opportunity. It’s
not good enough to have your team finally break
through after years
and years and millions and millions spent on virtually nothing. They have to remind everybody how bad the
Mets are.
And why? Francesa
seems to be obsessing about relief pitching. He
of course hasn’t watched a single pitch so far
this year and is
relying on his sycophant for info that he’s frankly too intimidated to
give. He likes his job.
He knows Francesa doesn’t want to hear
anything good. My brother talks about
Vegas odds, which is okay. Vegas didn’t
pick the Saints either.
But I’m reminded too today of how much
more interesting the
Mets announcers are than those of the Yankees. They
can actually say what they like, including
pointing out Dwight Gooden’s
recent problem with the law. But there
is a chemistry there on that Mets broadcast team that’s just absent
from
Yankees broadcasts. And they can change
the people but they’ll still be laboring under the strict guidelines of
the
Evil Empire.
Santana’s pitching today and I’m
watching him now getting
screwed on the corners by the home plate umpire. But
he’s cool. He’s focused, as he is always. But he just gave up his first walk and the
pitch wasn’t that close. Hmmm.
You can probably tell I’m psyched for
the season
opener. This is probably maximum psych
time for me as my fantasy draft is tonight, something I always look
forward to,
and I’ll be drafting eighth in a ten-team league. This
presents some interesting problems. It’s a
good thing I’ve thought about it too,
my objectives, my exclusions (any and all Yankees) and the importance
of
winning as compared to having fun.
There are only a few locks really. And some of those locks are guys I wouldn’t
pick with a gun to my head. Arod for
example. Teixeira’a another.
Even CC Sabathia, a longtime Crab favorite
(my fantasy team name) will be summarily shunned as he has joined the
bad
guys. But there are some very nice
Yankee fantasy players, I must admit, in just about every one of the
first five
rounds.
One of the biggest factors though in
selecting is that
cost/benefit ratio of winning versus having fun. Prince
Fielder, for example, has been a Crabs
mainstay year after year. He’s even more
valuable in this league as strikeouts count against you and walks are a
positive. Fielder was terrific last year
too and could be even better this year, still relatively young but with
all
that experience and maybe even a better Milwaukee team.
And he’ll probably be there at pick 8.
But will he still be there at 13? I don’t think so. So
it’s either pick him at 8 or I don’t get
him. I figure 1-7 will be Pujols, Hanley
Ramirez, Arod, Utley, Braun, Longoria and Teixeira. But Teixeira may
still be
there at 8 if fellow players feel about Matt Kemp as I do, which is
over-rated. One good thing about passing
him up is that
there’re seemingly a million good fantasy first-basemen, any one of
whom could
have a bigger year than Teixeira.
But Fielder’s a first-sacker too. Do I really want to win this fantasy
year? There surely aren’t too many
shortstops or second-basemen that I’d like to have.
And there are really just 3 catchers who seem
to tower above the rest. Mauer’s
availability
at 8 presents a big problem, not just because he was the American
League MVP
but because he just got a huge contract, much more than I would have
paid for
him, and that tends to wreck a fella’s motivation, y’know?
Then Fielder is rated above some other
very good players,
Tulowitzki, Cabrera, and our own David Wright. Can
David shake his power numbers in spacious
Citi? And they did lower the fence or
something, didn’t they? And he did hit
.307. But he only had 72 rbi’s. That’s awful. If
he improves 50%, that’s still just 108 and who
improves 50% under
almost any circumstances?
Tulowitzki is an interesting
possibility. He’s a shortstop, a position
of scarcity, an
he had very nice numbers all around last year. But
it was a career year for him, even though it has
been a short career.
He was hurt in 2008 and had relatively horrible numbers for half a
season. The year before though, he had a
very
respectable OPS of .838 in his first full year as a player. But that stat is 100 points lower than he
achieved last year. So what should be my
expectation? It’s a real puzzler but I’d
say somewhere between the .838 and .930, which would be a very
respectable year
indeed from a shortstop.
So Tulowitzki is still alive for
consideration. I can’t take Jeter. I just can’t. Talk
about career years!
Moving down the rankings, dangerous in
itself, and having
already passed not only on Yankees but also on Miguel Cabrera, who I
don’t personally
like, there is Ian Kinsler, a second baseman, also in short supply, and
he’s
had four relatively good years in a row. He’s
a definite possibility, especially since his
numbers should improve
with Josh Hamilton coming back to that Texas lineup.
Should I consider a pitcher? Lincecum, Halladay and Greinke have a healthy
ranking over the rest of
the field. But they all pitched a lot of
innings last year. And I don’t like
taking pitchers early. They’re all tainted
goods, y’know, from a fantasy viewpoint. Although I recognize the
need for good pitchers, I think the variability of their numbers is
totally
unacceptable. I think, for the most
part, you have to be lucky with pitchers, and I’ll be checking out
their
innings pitched, you can be sure.
But, no matter what happens, and
there’s always a surprise,
at least I won’t have any stinking Yankees.

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