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Ian
Kinsler got a great jump off Motte to get into scoring
position............
Photo
by Jamie Squire- Getty Images
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.while Elvis Andrus made at least two
improbable plays in the field.......
Photo- Rob Carr- Getty Images
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It’s interesting to look back
sometimes on these posts of
mine to see where my mind was a week ago and where it is now. In my last column that was almost two
weeks
ago, I reflected on the Cards being the team to beat, that it was the
Cards who
had all those no-name guys who would hurt you.
Since then, the Cards did manage to
make the Brewers look
awful and then took Game 1 of the Series behind a lot of pitching and
one of
those no-name guys, one Allen Craig, who hit a little flare to right
against
Alexi Ogando, a Texas guy much too fond of his fastball, to drive in
the
winning run in the Cards 3-2 victory against the Rangers in St. Louis.
But, last night, the Rangers showed
that they could play
some small-ball too. Rangers
second-sacker Ian Kinsler got a hell of a jump on Cards closer Jason
Motte in
the 9th and just got his hand in to touch the corner of the
bag
ahead of Rafael Furcal’s swipe tag. Cards
catcher Yadier Molina made the perfect throw
but it wasn’t enough
to nail Kinsler.
Then, a guy named Elvis Andrus kept
the line moving along
with another single, sending Kinsler to third and taking second on the
somewhat-muffed relay. All of a sudden,
it was second and third and nobody out. Both
runners would wind up scoring on sac-flies from
Hamilton and Young
and that was it for the day as far as scoring would go.
Rangers closer Neftali Feliz
made sure of that.
So the American League entry can play
small-ball too. They’ve also got some guys
who can hit in the
clutch, some guys who can steal bases and play defense too. Their shortstop Elvis Andrus made one play
that looked impossible and another that just was as fine a play as
you’ll ever
see.
Until that ninth inning, it looked as
if the Cards would
once again employ the same method of destroying an opponent’s will as
they had
been doing all the way down the stretch of the regular season, take the
lead
and trot out one fine reliever after another to shut down that opposing
offense.
If Kinsler didn’t steal second, if
Andrus didn’t take second
on the throw, the Rangers would have been down 2-0 in games on their
way back
to Texas. But they put the pressure
on,
they hung tough, much as the Cards had been doing with regularity. The Rangers got the big hits and made the big
plays. Momentum now has to favor the
Rangers. They beat the LaRussa formula.
That Neftali Feliz looked so
unhittable in the ninth didn’t
hurt either, as far as inspiring confidence in the Rangers’ chances. Feliz was the
man, not Motte. The
Rangers won’t fear Jason Motte anymore.
I had been thinking the Cards still
had an advantage in
starting pitching, if only because they had three lefties going against
all
those right-handed hitters of the Cardinals, especially Pujols and
Holliday. But, a quick look at the
split-stats for Matt Harrison, the Rangers lefty who’ll be starting
Game 3,
shows that he’s better against righties than lefties, in terms of
opposing
batting and slugging percentages. The
Rangers could easily take Game 3.
Derek Holland, Game 4’s probable
Rangers lefty starter, may
have a lot more trouble against that Cards right-handed lineup. I’d imagine the Cards would tie the Series up
in Game 4 at two apiece. He’ll be facing
Edwin Jackson for St. Louis, someone who has been effective all year
but with
limited experience in the playoffs. If
the Cards did lose this one, they’d be down 3-1 in the Series, an event
that
these Cards won’t let happen.
Game 5 should also go to the Cards as
Chris Carpenter is a
much better pitcher than he has shown thus far in the first game. Facing C.J. Wilson again, who I thought
pitched over is head in Game 1, Carpenter should send the Series back
to St.
Louis with the Cards holding a 3-2 lead.
Then it’ll be Garcia-Lewis again in
Game 6 in St.
Louis. The Rangers obviously won Game 2
with the same SP matchup so it’s not inconceivable that, with the
Rangers’
backs firmly against the wall, as they were to a lesser extent last
night, the
Texas contingent can tie the Series at 3 apiece, setting up still
another Harrison-Lohse
matchup in Game 7.
Your guess is as good as mine as to
which of these two tough
teams will take that one. Whatever
happens though, it’ll be a team that can play small-ball, good defense,
steals,
taking the extra base and getting tough at-bats in tough situations.
The weather has negated the power of
both these teams so
far, both games in St. Louis having been played in weather in the 40’s
with a
stiff wind. Pujols’s drive especially
last night would have soared out of the park on any normal baseball
night.
The Rangers definitely broke through
in a big way with last
night’s come-from-behind win. They beat
LaRussa’s formula, they beat their feared closer, they fielded the ball
better
and they were better on the basepaths. They
have the closer to watch out for now. They
have more experience in the playoffs and
they’ve had their taste of failure in last year’s World Series vs. the
Giants.
That’s a lot of advantages, a lot of
stuff that’s hard to
evaluate. I now think that the only way
the Cards win this Series is if they take 2 out of 3 in Texas, a tough
test
against this Rangers team that loves to play at home, a fact that I
heard Josh
Hamilton re-affirm today, and in just about those same words.
Of course, there’s also NFL football
still rolling
along. The Jets, borderline sociopaths
all, will lose to the Chargers if there’s any justice in this world. The Giants should have their way with Fish.