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Brandon Jacobs is #1
Photo by Rick Stewart-Getty
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Ahmad Bradshaw is #2
Photo-Derek
Gee-AP
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While everyone is focusing on whether
the G-Men should even
try to beat the Patriots tomorrow night, and whether they should play
their
starters, and whether the NFL is erring in its decision to air the
broadcast
nationally (thus breaking trust with their NFL Network), almost nobody
is
focusing on the game itself.
I personally think the game will be played for real. While it
would be
nice to rest their starters, as they have the #5 seed locked up and
can't
advance any higher, the game will be televised nationally, and they
have a
chance to become the only other team besides the 1985 Miami Dolphins to
knock
off an undefeated team this late in the season. That alone is
significant, and certainly provides enough motivation to play their
blue and
white hearts out. The Pats, of course, have the flip side.
So, let's assume ( I hate even putting that word down on paper, or its
electronic equivalent) for a few moments in time that the game will be
played
on both sides for real. What kind of a game will it be?
Well, the
weather will be TERRIFIC football weather at Giants Stadium, the stands
will be
filled (although some fans may have trouble getting to their seats on
time with
the parking situation), and it will be the proverbial electric
atmosphere.
As the weather will be good, that means that Tom Brady will be able to
play the
game as he has played almost every other game. That means he'll
be trying
to locate and hit his receivers all over the field. Randy Moss,
Donte
Stallworth and Wes Welker will be there for the festivities as will
most or all
of his offensive linemen. (Brady has only been sacked 20 times in
15
games thus far, you do the math). Brady has a chance to break Dan
Marino's record for most TD passes in a season. Moss has a chance
to
break Jerry Rice's record for most TD pass receptions in a
season. So,
it's safe to say that the Pats will be throwing early and often.
Just as likely as the Patriots are to
pass, the Giants are
to run, not only because they have had success in the running game, but
because
it is the best way to eat clock, to wear down the Pats defense, and to
keep the
Brady passing attack on the sidelines. The only way to run consistently
against
a strong Pats defense, however, will be to mix in the pass.
Although Eli Manning has been accused
of many football sins,
turning the ball over (via both fumbles and interceptions), throwing
inaccurately (he has a relatively poor completion percentage), and
lacking
leadership skills (he doesn’t rant and rave), he can play this kind of
a game
better than just about any quarterback I can imagine.
He is happy to just win. After
the Buffalo
game, played in snow and wind, when
his receivers dropped pass after pass and Eli passed for only a little
over 100
yards, Eli was as happy as a clam. His
team had survived to play another day.
Eli can read defenses as well as
anyone. If the Pats load up against the
run, he’ll
throw the short ones, to his tight end, even though Shockey will be
out, to his
backs, and to his wide receivers. The
Giants offensive line has played well all year, and should be able to
both
protect Eli and pound the ball. We can
expect to see the Giants 6’ 4”Brandon Jacobs pound his 265 pounds into
the Pats
quite often. As a change of pace, the
Giants can throw in Ahmad Bradshaw, only 5’ 9” and 198 pounds, but
possessed of
speed and explosiveness, as evidenced by his 88 yard game-saving
touchdown run
against the Bills. While I hate to say
“thunder and lightning”, isn’t that what the Giants showed the Bills?
Of course, the Pats will be well aware
of the Giants
capability for explosiveness. They will
probably make Eli beat them through the air. Can
he do it? I believe
so. The weather will be good, probably
about 40
degrees at kickoff, and he still has some formidable weapons at his
disposal.
Plaxico Burress will be available as he has made himself available all
season,
despite ankle and now knee problems. His
backup, Sinorice Moss, is also doubtful. Veteran
David Tyree should be able fill in admirably. At
the other wide receiver spot will be the
veteran Amani Toomer, who has been known to show up big in the Giants
biggest
games. Both Plaxico and Amani can make
the spectacular grabs, and they may have to do just that against the
Patriots. Kevin Boss will probably fill
in for Shockey, and he will have to show the Patriots that he can both
get open
and catch the ball. If he can draw
serious coverage, that will make things easier on the wideouts.
If the Giants can “matriculate the
ball down the field” in
this fashion, via the pass early in the game, they should be able to
both run
and pass for the entire sixty minutes. That
they are a veteran team bodes well in their
favor as well. Against the Bills, upon
experiencing an early
14-point deficit, they pulled themselves together, fought back, and
eventually
wore down a feisty Bills team, who could not “circle the wagons” fast
enough. If they can take a lead against
the Pats and hold it through the first half, they have a really good
chance to
win the game. By the second half, the
duo of Jacobs and Bradshaw, ably assisted by another veteran, Reuben
Droughns,
should be able to run through what will by that time be a tired bunch.
Another factor playing in the Giants
favor is pressure. The pressure will
squarely be on the
Patriots. Although the Pats managed to
eventually win against both the Ravens and the Eagles, can they do it a
third
time against a strong and supremely-motivated defense?
If they can, they will be worthy of whatever
praises are thrown their way.
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